Election odds

The place for serious discussion, announcements and breaking news about Sydenham
digime2007
Posts: 258
Joined: 10 Sep 2007 18:26
Location: Sydenhham

Post by digime2007 »

Ulysses wrote:When I say digime2007 that people cannot be bothered I think that's a fair assessment. It's not entriely that they cannot be bothered to physically walk to the polling station more they cannot be bothered to vote as they see no net benefit in the short or long term. Different interpretations but the same sorry state of affairs.
I agree. That's what I was saying. People have disengaged because they have been consistently let down and don't see ideological difference between the different parties. That's not apathy that's a voting decision.
Ulysses wrote:As for the war on Iraq leenewham [and Blair's current reticence even with the Chilcot enquiry to apologise for lying] this is something that angers me.
Agree again. Another reason why Brown wouldn't have been my choice to take over from Blair. He was too entangled with that whole debacle.

Also, have to agree with leenewham about the papers (don't get me started on The Sun) and even more so that forums like these aren't the best place to talk politics.

So ... we’re all agreed that we should blow the Sydenham development budget on a massive mosaic of Gordon Brown?
Ulysses
Posts: 893
Joined: 1 Apr 2009 12:30
Location: Sydenham

Post by Ulysses »

You're right digime2007. It might be something better ruminated upon (see what I did there?) over a ruby murray, as Lee suggests.

My last word on the subject, though. is what you have described is voter apathy. You call it a voting decision others, including myself, call it voter apathy. It's the same thing.

Just so there's no confusion here's the dictionary definition of apathy:

1. absence or suppression of passion, emotion, or excitement.
2. lack of interest in or concern for things that others find moving or exciting.
3. Also, ap⋅a⋅thei⋅a, ap⋅a⋅thi⋅a  [ap-uh-thee-uh] Show IPA . Stoicism. freedom from emotion of any kind.

[BTW I don't mean to infer you are confused just that we are talking about the same thing, just using differing explanations]

I am saddened that anyone would choose not to exercise their right to vote but can empathise.
Tim Lund
Posts: 6718
Joined: 13 Mar 2008 18:10
Location: Silverdale

Post by Tim Lund »

Is no one going to suggest an evening for this curry? How about Jan 29th or 30th? Or would Ulysses be mourning the martyrdom of Charles I on the latter day?
leenewham
Posts: 5886
Joined: 2 Sep 2007 11:58
Location: SYDENHAM
Contact:

Post by leenewham »

WHAT?: CURRY
WHERE?: GARAM MASALA
WHEN?: THURSDAY JANUARY THE 21st at 7.30
WHY?: Because it's there...
Psi
Posts: 26
Joined: 4 Mar 2008 18:47
Location: Sydenham

Post by Psi »

You can’t view the next election as the basis of comparison as the boundaries have changed. There is an estimate of how the people now in the constituency voted at the last election:
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi- ... nd%20Penge
The estimates are:
Labour: 18,491 44.7%
Lib Dems: 11,528 27.9%
Conservative: 9,143 22.1%
Others: 2,226 5.4%
Majority of 6,963
You have to consider that these are based upon voting in local elections so it is not exactly matching the last general election but it is an indicator of how the boundary has moved to take in more people from a Conservative/Liberal marginal.
Thomas
Posts: 632
Joined: 22 Feb 2007 13:08
Location: Upper Sydenham

Post by Thomas »

WHAT?: CURRY
WHERE?: GARAM MASALA
WHEN?: THURSDAY JANUARY THE 21st at 7.30
WHY?: Because it's there...
Good idea - can't make it then but hope those who do make it enjoy themselves.
Tim Lund
Posts: 6718
Joined: 13 Mar 2008 18:10
Location: Silverdale

Post by Tim Lund »

Lee:

I can do 21st as well - what about the others?
Tim Lund
Posts: 6718
Joined: 13 Mar 2008 18:10
Location: Silverdale

Post by Tim Lund »

Sorry - can't do 21st. I could do 28th
mummycat
Posts: 576
Joined: 8 May 2007 12:10
Location: not se26

Post by mummycat »

Who are the others? Are you expecting Gordon, Dave and Nick or Jim, Chris and Alex? :lol:
alywin
Posts: 936
Joined: 27 Aug 2009 12:33
Location: No longer in Sydenham

Post by alywin »

Psi wrote:You can’t view the next election as the basis of comparison as the boundaries have changed. There is an estimate of how the people now in the constituency voted at the last election:
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi- ... nd%20Penge
I'm wondering how many people will stay away in protest at the boundary changes. To me, it seems like a potential administrative nightmare to have them crossing so many Boroughs as they do. I feel I have even less in common with the voters of Lewisham than I ever did with the voters of Beckenham. As far as I can see, I think I shall still be in a Beckenham ward for the local elections, and a Lewisham one for the general, or have the local ones changed again too?
Psi
Posts: 26
Joined: 4 Mar 2008 18:47
Location: Sydenham

Post by Psi »

alywin wrote:
Psi wrote:You can’t view the next election as the basis of comparison as the boundaries have changed. There is an estimate of how the people now in the constituency voted at the last election:
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi- ... nd%20Penge
I'm wondering how many people will stay away in protest at the boundary changes. To me, it seems like a potential administrative nightmare to have them crossing so many Boroughs as they do. I feel I have even less in common with the voters of Lewisham than I ever did with the voters of Beckenham. As far as I can see, I think I shall still be in a Beckenham ward for the local elections, and a Lewisham one for the general, or have the local ones changed again too?
I think Local boundries are unchanged, council boundrys tend to get moved independently of Parlimentary Constituencies. It tends to give MPs the confidence to fiddle with councils while feeling safe that they won't be taking their majority out from under themselves.
Juwlz
Posts: 749
Joined: 26 Oct 2005 20:49
Location: Outer Sydenham

Post by Juwlz »

Eagle
Posts: 10658
Joined: 7 Oct 2004 06:36
Location: F Hill

Post by Eagle »

Why does not Mr D retire?
How often has he disagreed with party policy?
Psi
Posts: 26
Joined: 4 Mar 2008 18:47
Location: Sydenham

Post by Psi »

Eagle wrote:Why does not Mr D retire?
How often has he disagreed with party policy?
http://www.theyworkforyou.com/mp/jim_dowd/lewisham_west

Speaks for itself...

In particular:

"Has spoken in 4 debates in the last year — well below average amongst MPs.
Has received answers to 9 written questions in the last year — below average amongst MPs."
Psi
Posts: 26
Joined: 4 Mar 2008 18:47
Location: Sydenham

Post by Psi »

Eagle wrote: How often has he disagreed with party policy?
Also:
Voted strongly against a transparent Parliament
Voted strongly for introducing ID cards
Voted strongly for introducing student top-up fees
Voted very strongly for Labour's anti-terrorism laws
Voted very strongly for the Iraq war
Voted very strongly against an investigation into the Iraq war

Sounds like vary rarely.

Apparently a vote for JD is directly a vote for Gordon Brown.
Eagle
Posts: 10658
Joined: 7 Oct 2004 06:36
Location: F Hill

Post by Eagle »

Also noted voted strongly for hunting ban. Surely vote should have been left to rural MPs.. I would have thought representing the people of West Lewisham he would have found more important things to get worked up about.
Seems to be a very good backer of HMG whatever the Policy.
Not sure why he wants to carry on after , what is it 5 parliaments , or maybe 6. john Maples only a distant memory now.
VickyMill
Posts: 6
Joined: 17 Aug 2007 10:48
Location: Lower Sydenham.

Post by VickyMill »

Psi wrote:
Eagle wrote: How often has he disagreed with party policy?
Also:
Voted strongly against a transparent Parliament
Voted strongly for introducing ID cards
Voted strongly for introducing student top-up fees
Voted very strongly for Labour's anti-terrorism laws
Voted very strongly for the Iraq war
Voted very strongly against an investigation into the Iraq war

Sounds like vary rarely.

Apparently a vote for JD is directly a vote for Gordon Brown.
And also just because the man's a dolt.

I cannot understand how he's existed as MP in this constituency longer than I have plain existed tbqh...
Robin Orton
Posts: 3380
Joined: 9 Sep 2008 07:30
Location: London SE26

Post by Robin Orton »

Psi wrote:
Apparently a vote for JD is directly a vote for Gordon Brown.
That hardly seems fair, given that Mr Dowd was apparently involved in abortive coups against Mr Brown in both 2008 and 2009. See http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstop ... rship.html and http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/po ... 60127.html
Eagle
Posts: 10658
Joined: 7 Oct 2004 06:36
Location: F Hill

Post by Eagle »

If he was involved with one of the alleged coups then shows how incompetent he is.( possibly )
Any Latin American General would have done a better job.
If they were serious coups then God Save Us.
fishcox
Posts: 628
Joined: 4 Mar 2005 13:55
Location: lawrie park road

Post by fishcox »

What I find frightening, is the way the media seem to be deciding who becomes the next PM.

Look at any picture of Gordon Brown which appears in the press - particularly those publications to the right (about 95% of them) - and they will ALWAYS print a picture of him looking in some way distressed, whilst those of Cameron always show him looking smoooooth. It's the constant bombardment of such images which ultimately have a subconscious effect on the electorate.

We do have a strange political system though.

I mean, if you look at the UK as being UK PLC, and the Government as the Board of Directors - how many other companies would change their whole Board every 5 or so years, and then take a company in a different direction?
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